Нездоровые коровы и еврооптимизм

17.03.2001 07:04



Мнение жителей Латвии о ЕС постоянно меняется. В феврале этого года еврооптимистов снова стало меньше - на 3,9%. В случае референдума за вступление Латвии в эту организацию проголосовало бы лишь 41,4% населения республики.

По мнению Эдварда Кушнера (на фото), директора Бюро европейской интеграции, в усилении европессимизма повинен шквал негативной информации о Европе. Естественно, что скандалы с болеющими коровами и овцами вызвали у жителей Латвии негативную реакцию.

Кроме того, опросы последних лет показывают регулярное снижение еврооптимизма именно в феврале (в 1999 году он упал аж до 36,6%). Видимо, сказывается общая зимняя депрессия и пресловутый весенний авитаминоз 15,6% опрошенных за немедленное вступление Латвии в ЕС. 19% жителей этого ожидают в 2002-2005 гг., почти 14% - в 2006-2010 гг., 6,6% - в 2011-2020 гг., 5% - после 2020 г.

Во время этого опроса специалисты SKDS пошли на своеобразную хитрость. Они добавили к общему списку еще один вопрос: когда Латвии нужно было бы вступить в ЕС? Оказывается, что в общем-то большинство жителей республики (60%) не возражают против Европы, но стремятся туда не сейчас, а чуть погодя. О том, что Латвии вообще никогда не нужно вступать в ЕС, высказалась лишь восьмая часть населения (14,5%).

Довольно странно то, что наряду со снижением количества еврооптимистов, на 2,5% меньше стало и европессимистов - 32,7%. Г-н Кушнер объясняет это увеличением количества "незнаек". Людей, которые еще не определились, стало почти на 6% больше. По его мнению, Латвия слишком стремительно открывает и закрывает различные разделы вступительных переговоров и народ просто не успевает осознать, а что же это значит.

Здесь всплывает еще одна проблема - слабая информированность общества. Проевропейская позиция правительства и парламента очевидна. Как отметил Э.Кушнер, даже объединение "ЗаПЧЕЛ" весьма однозначно заявило о том, что левые не против ЕС. Но, например, изменяя местное законодательство, власти очень редко объясняют, зачем это надо конкретно нам. Обычная формулировка - латвийские нормы нужно согласовать с требованиями ЕС. Но какая от этого польза проcтым смертным? Кстати, в топе не понятных для местного населения европейских благ - политика социальной защиты, трудоустройство и права человека. Судя по всему, жителям Латвии не очень улыбается стать второсортными участниками ЕС.

Что касается граждан и неграждан, то показатели практически не изменились. Как и прежде, в Европу больше хотят люди с латвийским подданством (43,6%), нежели постоянные жители республики (33,6%). Соответственно, против вступления в ЕС настроены 30,4% граждан и 40,4% неграждан.

В очередной раз также подтвердилась тенденция прошлых лет: чем выше достаток, тем больше желания вступать в ЕС. Оно и понятно - зарплата в 50 Ls вряд ли способна обеспечить жизнь на европейском уровне. Среди людей, чьи доходы не превышают 42 Ls на одного члена семьи, еврооптимистами являются лишь 39%. А среди тех, кто живет на 127 Ls в месяц и больше, в Европу готовы вступить 57,5%. Получается, что для повышения еврооптимизма в республике правительству прежде всего следует позаботиться о благосостоянии ее жителей.

Динамика голосования о вступлении в ЕС (в%).

Месяц год За Против Не знаю.

Нояб. 1998 46,6 26,6 26,8.

Февр. 1999 36,6 33 30,4.

Май 1999 44,2 31 24,8.

Авг. 1999 50,8 29,5 19,7.

Нояб. 1999 49,7 28 22,3.

Февр. 2000 43,5 37,7 18,8.

Май 2000 39,7 37,7 23.

Авг. 2000 44,6 32,4 23,1.

Нояб. 2000 45,3 34,2 20,5.

Февр. 2001 41,4 32,7 26.

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